Saturday, December 30, 2017

Tide faces a must-win game tonight
A&M is a slight favorite...

   
 I've always hated the term must-win. It seems so dramatic and overstated. Tonight the unranked Crimson Tide hosts the Aggies of Texas A&M that might actually fall into that category.   As much as I hate to say must-win Tide has lost two home games. A third home loss wouldn't be the end of the world or would it?  We can look at today's game in two ways. We are not playing well and the best team we play will hit the hardwood tonight. That is a recipe for disaster. That is one way to view the game tonight Johnson is not worried about A&M. He is concerned about his own team.  So what can you say that favors the Tide in tonight's tip-off?  How about we have a great opportunity to beat the 5th rated team in the nation which will be without their top scorer. We catch them in Tuscaloosa. And a win would be a great catalyst to get the SEC season off to a tsunami-start.  Take your pick. There isn't much else to consider today. 

    It can't be that time of the year, can it? It is still December and monumental games can't be this early can they? The can if you have taken a couple of home court losses. Both A&M and 'Bama have excellent RPI's at this time. Bama is 33rd and A&M checks in at #8. A&M has a strength of schedule of 48. The Tide is much better at 11th.  Each of those numbers tells me that both teams are in the NCAA field right now. 'Bama is on the edge looking in or hanging on not to fall out of the field. The Aggies will still be a top 10 team win or lose today. Bama should regain a spot in the AP top 25. The poll means nothing. It is all about the Selection Committee looking at numbers. Teams have to pass the eye test but it is namely about stats in today's world.  That is why a third home floor loss could be detrimental.

     D.J. Hogg, the Aggie's leading scorer is suspended for tonight's game. He was the leading scorer for Texas A&M.  Savion  Flagg, who has been Freshman of the Week for his last two games will likely take his place.Flagg has averaged over 17 points in the last two games. TAM is number 5 in one and number 6  in another. The Aggies are big and very physical. I'm sure that Johnson is going to start Key and his biggest role tonight is to rebound the ball. 

     Alabama has enough talent plus a home court advantage to win this game. Will they? It is really hard to say. The Tide has lost 4 games. One was a bizarre game with Minnesota. If you want to know how good Mo Bambo really is, go to Youtube and watch him dismantle the inside Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas made 17 three-points to win that game.  The Tide lost a stinker Central Florida on their home floor. That loss hurt. The Tide has lost three of their last five games. No shame in losing to Arizona. A lot of teams will. Then Texas dropped a bomb on the Tide which showed some interior weakness and a lack of ball movement. It also might serve as a blueprint on how to beat the Tide. The Longhorns double teamed Collin Sexton. John Petty answered the bell, but other Tide players didn't show up that night.

I hope the Tide wins. Logic says it is A&M. I think the home court advantage and the lose of Hogg gives Crimson and White a chance. The Tide by 2.

No comments:

Post a Comment